December 19th Update.
With Oscar nominations only a month away, these will most likely be my final predictions. The SAG, Golden Globe, and BFCA nominations came out last week. While they never completely match up, they give us a strong indication of what might happen.
1. Lupita Nyong'o - 12 Years a Slave
Nyong'o has been dominating the critics circle and has picked up nominations for the SAG, Globe, and BFCA. She's not only a lock, but she's in good shape for the win with the amount of suppport 12 Years a Slave has been getting. (Previously #1)
2. Jennifer Lawrence- American Hustle
American Hustle has also gotten a ton of support so far. After picking up all of the precursors, she is a lock for her 3rd Oscar nod in 4 years. The only thing hurting her is the fact that she won last year. So it's hard to imagine her winning in back to back years. (Previously #4)
3. Julia Roberts- August: Osage County
Roberts looks safe as well after picking up nods for each of the three precursors as well. It would be her first nomination since 2001 for Erin Brockovich. (Previously #3)
4. Oprah Winfrey- The Butler
Oprah looked strong, but the lack of a Globe nod is surprising. She still could be a challenge, but I don't think she's as safe as she seemed. She moves down a few spots. (Previously #2)
5. June Squibb- Nebraska
The love for Nebraska seems strong and Squibb has gotten the precursor support she needed. However, these 5 seem like the obvious choices. The Academy usually throws us a curveball or two, so I wouldn't be surprised if any of the other possible 5 sneak in. (Previously #6)
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Other Possibilities
6. Sally Hawkins- Blue Jasmine (Previously unranked)
7. Scarlett Johansson- Her (Previously unranked)
8. Octavia Spencer- (Previously #5)
9. Jennifer Garner- Dallas Buyers Club (Previously #10
10. Margot Robbie- The Wolf of Wall Street (Previously unranked)
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