December 26th Update.
No real changes here. Judi Dench has presented herself as a major contender after receiving support from the 3 major precursors. But I'm sticking to my guns and going with Adams. If Dench gets in, all 5 nominees will be previous winners. I'm predicting against that right now
1. Cate Blanchett- Blue Jasmine
Cate Blanchett looks like the clear frontrunner so far. Reviews have called her performance a career best. In a career that's already brought her an Oscar win, that's saying something. It's between her and Bullock right now. (Previously #1)
2. Sandra Bullock- Gravity
Gravity was a major critical and commercial hit. Basically a one man show, Bullock carries the film. Reviews have raved Bullock, calling it a career best for her as well. She's a lock. (Previously #2)
3. Meryl Streep- August: Osage County
Meryl Streep has been nominated 4 times in the last 7 years. The Academy seemingly always nominated her, so she's as good a bet as any. (Previously #3)
4. Emma Thompson- Saving Mr. Banks
While Saving Mr. Banks doesn't look as strong of a contender as previously thought, I think it will still get some recognition. Thompson is the highlight of the film, so she's a good bet after receiving the precursor support she needed. (Previously #6)
5. Amy Adams- American Hustle
I have to think someone will be nominated who hasn't won before. Not receiving a SAG hurts, but I still think she's a possibility...especially with all the love for American Hustle. But I wouldn't be surprised if Dench or Exarchopoulos sneak in instead. (Previously #4)
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Other Possibilities
6. Judi Dench- Philomena (Previously #10)
7. Adèle Exarchopoulos- Blue is the Warmest Color (Previously #9)
8. Brie Larson- Short Term 12 (Previously unranked)
9. Kate Winslet- Labor Day (Previously #6)
10. Julie Delpy- Before Midnight (Previously #7)
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